Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.43%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.