Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.