Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Shandong Taishan
19.89% ( -0.47)	22.66% ( -0.26)	57.45% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 52.61% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55% (

0.5)

46.45% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27% (

0.47)

68.73% (

-0.47)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56% (

-0.2)

37.44% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

-0.2)

74.22% (

0.19)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

0.43)

15.91% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

0.77)

45.15% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 19.89%

Shandong Taishan 57.44%

Draw 22.66%

Shenzhen	Draw	Shandong Taishan
1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.89%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.44%