Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Wuhan win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.