Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.