Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8

Jul 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Aswan Stadium

Wuhan TT
4 - 2
Sh. Shenhua

Marcao (20' pen., 47', 62'), Stanciu (58')
Zhang (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jianrong (78', 88')
Wang (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wuhan Three Towns

Last Game: Guangzhou 1-2 Wuhan TT
Thursday, June 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
44.07% ( -0.37)	27.31% ( 0.02)	28.62% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 47.78% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.68% (

0.07)

57.31% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85% (

0.05)

78.14% (

-0.05)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

-0.16)

25.85% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.18% (

-0.22)

60.82% (

0.22)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.31)

35.56% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.32)

72.33% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns 44.06%

Shanghai Shenhua 28.62%

Draw 27.3%

Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.62%