Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.