Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.