Chinese Super League | Gameweek 19

Oct 24, 2022 at 8.30am UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zhang (35')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-4 Shanghai Port
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-3 Shandong
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Beijing Guoan
38.21% ( -0.17)	26.56% ( -0.03)	35.23% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39% (

0.13)

52.6% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74% (

0.11)

74.25% (

-0.11)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.03)

26.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.05)

62.09% (

0.05)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.18)

28.56% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.23)

64.34% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 38.2%

Beijing Guoan 35.23%

Draw 26.56%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.2%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.23%