Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17

Sep 24, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
2 - 0
Wuhan

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Wuhan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:

Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Wuhan TT
Tuesday, September 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Wuhan

Last Six:

Last Game: Wuhan 0-3 Shenzhen
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Wuhan
37.04% ( -0.02)	28.43% ( -0)	34.53% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.48% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.15% (

59.85% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.88% (

80.12% (

-0)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.01)

31.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.01)

67.32% (

0.01)

Wuhan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

0.01)

32.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

0.01)

69.17% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 37.03%

Wuhan 34.53%

Draw 28.41%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Wuhan
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.53%