Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.