Chinese Super League | Gameweek 21

Oct 5, 2022 at 8.30am UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 0
Guangzhou

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Shenzhen
Friday, September 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Guangzhou

All competitions

Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, September 13 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Guangzhou
52.46% ( 0.07)	26.18% ( -0.04)	21.36% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

0.09)

58.26% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1% (

0.07)

78.89% (

-0.07)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.06)

22.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

0.1)

55.81% (

-0.1)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.33% (

0.01)

42.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.99% (

0.02)

79.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 52.45%

Guangzhou 21.36%

Draw 26.17%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.45%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.36%