Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.