Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 24, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Dalian Sports Center

Dalian Pro
2 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Tsonev (7'), Manzoki (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Xizhe (25'), Zhang (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dalian Pro

Last Six:
Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-1 Hebei
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

Last Six:
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Hebei
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Dalian ProDrawBeijing Guoan
46.68% (-0.204 -0.2)24.65% (-0.02 -0.02)28.67% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 56% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.217 0.22)46.66% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (0.204 0.2)68.93% (-0.203 -0.2)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.29%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (0.274 0.27)29.94% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (0.33 0.33)66.05% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Pro 46.68%
    Beijing Guoan 28.67%
    Draw 24.65%
Dalian ProDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Dalian Pro vs Beijing Guoan

Dalian Pro
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
Beijing Guoan
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 11.30am
Dalian Pro
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Wang (47'), Boateng (74')
Bakambu (75' pen.)
Yang (29'), Bakambu (78'), Tianyi (90+5')
May 4, 2021 1pm
Beijing Guoan
2-0
Dalian Pro
Xizhe (54', 55')
Dabao (28'), Tianyi (65'), Zhongguo (71')

Tong (59'), Sun (90+3')
Tong (73')
Oct 25, 2020 1am
Beijing Guoan
P-P
Dalian Pro
Jun 20, 2020 1am
Dalian Pro
P-P
Beijing Guoan
Aug 15, 2019 12.35pm
Dalian Pro
0-2
Beijing Guoan

Hamsik (42')
Dun (56'), Zhang (86')
Yennaris (81')