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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 20
Oct 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
4 - 1
Guangzhou

Zhang (10'), Adegbenro (21', 33'), Memisevic (27')
Ziming (86')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Li (76')
Fan (57'), Li (61'), (66')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Monday, October 24 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Guangzhou
Monday, October 24 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawGuangzhou
59.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 22.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 17.9% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)47.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)69.56% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)15.4% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)44.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)76.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 59.91%
    Guangzhou 17.9%
    Draw 22.19%
Beijing GuoanDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.91%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.9%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2021 12pm
Guangzhou
1-0
Beijing Guoan
Deng (40')
Deng (57')

Zhongguo (25'), Cao (42')
Dec 13, 2021 12pm
Beijing Guoan
1-0
Guangzhou
Zhang (82')
Tianyi (50'), Li (51')
Nov 2, 2020 11.35am
Guangzhou
3-1
Beijing Guoan
Talisca (39' pen.), Paulinho (56', 81')
Shihao (30'), Park (31'), Chao (41'), Wu (68'), Xiuwei (85'), Dianzuo (90+1')
Zhang (61')
Li (25')
Oct 28, 2020 11.35am
Beijing Guoan
0-0
Guangzhou

Viera (39'), Jin (73')

Zhi (4'), Yang (78')
Oct 18, 2020 1am
Guangzhou
P-P
Beijing Guoan
rhs 2.0
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