Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.