Chinese Super League | Gameweek 22
Oct 9, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Tianhe Stadium
Meizhou Hakka

Guangzhou
1 - 3
Meizhou Hakka

Yang (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yang (24'), Vukanovic (33', 90+5')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Meizhou Hakka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Guangzhou
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Shandong
Wednesday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawMeizhou Hakka
12.09% (-0.051 -0.05)20.23% (-0.111 -0.11)67.67% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Both teams to score 42.87% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (0.32 0.32)50.3% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.282 0.28)72.25% (-0.27900000000001 -0.28)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.8% (0.108 0.11)50.2% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.2% (0.074 0.07)84.79% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Meizhou Hakka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.152 0.15)13.91% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65% (0.29600000000001 0.3)41.34% (-0.293 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 12.09%
    Meizhou Hakka 67.67%
    Draw 20.23%
GuangzhouDrawMeizhou Hakka
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 12.09%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 13.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 13.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 4.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.74% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 67.67%