Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.