Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
10.76% ( 0.19)	16.67%	72.57% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.99% (

0.58)

38.01% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.73% (

0.61)

60.27% (

-0.61)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.35% (

0.74)

44.65% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.35% (

0.59)

80.65% (

-0.59)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.86% (

0.1)

9.14% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69% (

0.24)

31% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 10.76%

Henan Songshan Longmen 72.57%

Draw 16.67%

Guangzhou	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.76%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.67%	0-2 @ 11.68% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 9.32% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.49% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.57%