Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.