Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.