Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Port in this match.