Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.