Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
May 6, 2023 12.35pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium
  • Romulo 1' goal
  • Elkeson 40' goal
  • Felipe Silva 50' goal
  • goal Zhang Wei 61'
  • goal Evans Kangwa 63'

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 8.30am
Zhejiang 0 - 2 Chengdu
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Felipe Silva

Qingdao Hainiu

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 12.35pm
Qingdao Hainiu 0 - 3 Wuhan TT
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Evans Kangwa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result

Chengdu Rongcheng 37.31% (+0.24)
Draw 25.71% (+0.11)
Qingdao Hainiu 36.98% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.25% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.12% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 48.88% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 29.03% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 70.97% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 14% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 86% (+0.30)

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 25.58% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 39.54% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 60.46% (+0.13)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5 74.24% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 25.76% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 39.3% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 60.7% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Chengdu Rongcheng 37.31%
Draw 25.7%
Qingdao Hainiu 36.98%
Chengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 8.98% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.31% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.59% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.7%
Qingdao Hainiu
0-1 @ 8.94% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.98%