Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.