Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.