Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.