Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this match.