Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.