Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.