Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
51.66% ( 0.38)	25.79% ( -0.04)	22.54% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.17% (

-0.14)

55.83% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

-0.11)

76.95% (

0.11)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

0.11)

21.66% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

0.16)

54.8% (

-0.16)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.92% (

-0.41)

40.08% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.28% (

-0.38)

76.73% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 51.66%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 22.54%

Draw 25.79%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.66%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 22.54%