Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.