Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.