Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.