Chinese Super League | Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium

Chengdu Qianbao
3 - 2
Sh. Shenhua

Liu (29'), Kim (57'), Gou (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hanchao (19'), Xu (40')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Rongcheng and Shanghai Shenhua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Qianbao

All competitions
Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Changchun
Monday, November 7 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 2-0 Sh. Shenhua
Monday, November 7 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawShanghai Shenhua
51.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)25.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)23.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 47.03% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.08% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.019999999999996 0.02)55.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 51%
    Shanghai Shenhua 23.03%
    Draw 25.94%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 13.22%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 10.30am
Sh. Shenhua
0-2
Chengdu Qianbao
Wu (12'), Silva (86')
Xin (68')