Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.