Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.98%) and 0-3 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.