Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 73.05%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.