Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 5.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.25%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.