Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 0-3 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.