Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.