Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

May 5, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
0 - 1
Cangzhou

FT(HT: 0-1)

Locadia (18' pen.)

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

All competitions

Last Game: Shenzhen 1-1 Henan
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Cangzhou Mighty Lions

All competitions

Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Sunday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
32.49% ( 0.15)	24.87% ( 0.08)	42.65% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.3)

45.85% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-0.28)

68.17% (

0.28)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.05)

26.98% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

-0.07)

62.33% (

0.07)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

-0.23)

21.52% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

-0.35)

54.58% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 32.49%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 42.65%

Draw 24.86%

Shenzhen	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.65%