Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 4.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.