Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.