Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.