Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.