Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.