Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.