Chinese Super League | Gameweek 7
May 15, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Nantong Zhiyun

Beijing Guoan
1 - 0
Nantong Zhiyun

Ljubicic (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Nantong Zhiyun.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Wednesday, May 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Nantong Zhiyun

All competitions
Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 Zhejiang
Wednesday, May 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawNantong Zhiyun
35.67% (0.181 0.18)26.75% (-0.167 -0.17)37.58% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.688 0.69)53.35% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.579 0.58)74.9% (-0.58 -0.58)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.443 0.44)28.65% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.552 0.55)64.47% (-0.55200000000001 -0.55)
Nantong Zhiyun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.322 0.32)27.52% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.41 0.41)63.03% (-0.412 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 35.67%
    Nantong Zhiyun 37.57%
    Draw 26.74%
Beijing GuoanDrawNantong Zhiyun
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.57%

How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Nantong Zhiyun

Beijing Guoan
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Nantong Zhiyun
0.0%
10