Chinese Super League Gameweek 7
May 15, 2023 12.35pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Workers' Stadium
  • Robert Ljubicic 23' goal

Beijing Guoan vs Nantong Zhiyun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 10, 2023 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan 1 - 1 Tianjin Jinmen
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Fabio Abreu

Nantong Zhiyun

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 10, 2023 12.35pm
Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 2 Zhejiang
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Rubilio Castillo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Beijing Guoan 35.67% (+0.19)
Draw 26.75% (-0.17)
Nantong Zhiyun 37.58% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.71% (+0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.64% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 53.35% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 25.1% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 74.9% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 11.42% (+0.37)
Under 4.5 88.58% (-0.37)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 28.65% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 35.53% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 64.47% (-0.56)

Nantong Zhiyun Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 27.52% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 36.97% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 63.03% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.67%
Draw 26.74%
Nantong Zhiyun 37.57%
Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.95% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.74%
Nantong Zhiyun
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 8.2% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.57%