Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
May 6, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Nantong Zhiyun
0 - 1
Changchun

FT(HT: 0-1)
Leonardo (23')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantong Zhiyun

All competitions
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Sunday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Nantong ZhiyunDrawChangchun Yatai
51.15% (-0.464 -0.46)25.76% (0.243 0.24)23.09% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.63% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.7 -0.7)55.23% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.576 -0.58)76.46% (0.57899999999999 0.58)
Nantong Zhiyun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.48100000000001 -0.48)21.64% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)54.76% (0.745 0.74)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-0.178 -0.18)39.21% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08% (-0.167 -0.17)75.92% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Nantong Zhiyun 51.14%
    Changchun Yatai 23.09%
    Draw 25.75%
Nantong ZhiyunDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.175 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.09%