Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3

Apr 26, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Hongkou Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 0
Changchun

Malele (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions

Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, April 21 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 3-2 Dalian Pro
Saturday, April 22 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Changchun Yatai
47.69% ( -0.46)	25.95% ( 0.06)	26.36% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53% (

0.02)

53.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01% (

0.02)

74.99% (

-0.02)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.2)

22.43% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

-0.3)

55.95% (

0.3)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.35)

35.32% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.36)

72.08% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 47.69%

Changchun Yatai 26.36%

Draw 25.95%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.36%